I'm currently reading Thomas Sowell's The Vision of the Anointed, and it packs a punch. Last weekend I mentioned my attraction to contrarians, not for the sake of being contrary, but for the very reasons highlighted in this book. In chapter one Sowell lays out his case:
Different visions, of course, have different assumptions, so it is not uncommon for people who follow different visions to find themselves in opposition to one another across a vast spectrum of unrelated issues, in such disparate fields as law, foreign policy, the environment, racial policy, military defense, education, and many others. To a remarkable extent, however, empirical evidence is neither sought beforehand nor consulted after a policy has been instituted. Facts may be marshalled for a position already taken, but that is very different from systematically testing opposing theories by evidence. Momentous questions are dealt with essentially as conflicts of visions.
The focus here will be on one particular vision—the vision prevailing among the intellectual and political elite of our time. What is important about that vision are not only its particular assumptions and their corollaries, but also the fact that it is a prevailing vision--which means that its assumptions are so much taken for granted by so many people, including so-called "thinking people," that neither those assumptions nor their corollaries are generally confronted with demands for empirical evidence. Indeed, empirical evidence itself may be viewed as suspect, insofar as it is inconsistent with that vision.
For those unfamiliar with Thomas Sowell, he was born in 1930 and raised in Harlem. He served in the U.S. Marine Corps during the Korean War and later earned degrees from Harvard, Columbia, and the University of Chicago, where he studied under Milton Friedman. An American economist, political thinker, and author, his work spans economics, history, education, race, and social policy. He became a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University and wrote more than 40 books, including Basic Economics, A Conflict of Visions, and The Vision of the Anointed. His work emphasizes trade-offs, incentives, and empirical analysis in public policy.
Bottom Line: Reality and Truth are more important than intentions and pipe dreams.
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A little further on Sowell cites examples of various issues in the public square where conflicting visions compete with regard to government policies.
What all these highly disparate crusades have in common is their moral exaltation of the anointed above others, who are to have their very different views nullified and superseded by the views of the anointed, imposed via the power of government. Despite the great variety of issues in a series of crusading movements among the intelligentsia during the twentieth century, several key elements have been common to most of them:
1. Assertions of a great danger to the whole society, a danger to which the masses of people are oblivious.
2. An urgent need for action to avert impending catastrophe.
3. A need for government to drastically curtail the dangerous behavior of the many, in response to the prescient conclusions of the few.
4. A disdainful dismissal of arguments to the contrary as either uninformed, irresponsible, or motivated by unworthy purposes.
How many times have we seen this show through the years. Same script, different issues, same game. As Dylan put it "When you gonna wake up?"
Sowell’s warning is simple but bracing. When visions replace evidence, intentions replace results, and elites exempt their assumptions from scrutiny, society drifts from reality. Policies must be judged by outcomes, not moral fervor. Truth is not decided by consensus, urgency, or status—but by facts.























